the dump's sportslog - baseball analysis

6.17.2003

 
Seo continues his mastery
I'll freely admit I was less than optimistic about Jae Seo's prospects when he entered the Met rotation earlier this season. In fact, I wrote something to that effect in this space on April 16th:

I'm not sure why Seo is in the rotation to begin with. I don't particularly understand Cone either, but he's a reclamation project, is a way of sticking it to Steinbrenner and at least has had success in the past, even in a Met uniform. Seo's real major league career (he pitched a perfect inning as a reliever last year) has begun with 8 runs allowed (6 earned) on 19 hits over his first 10.1 innings. He's struck out six and not walked a batter, but that's not nearly as significant when you're giving up that many hits. Obviously, we've got a pretty small sample size to work with here, but early returns (a .900+ OPS against) aren't encouraging. He's 25, has a career AAA ERA of 3.83 with significantly more than one hit per inning pitched (198/176.0) and a BB/K ratio of 28/112. Those aren't terrible numbers by any means, but they also don't demand an opportunity at the major league level.

He's certainly proven that he does indeed deserve to be pitching in the major leagues, as he's done a terrific job (including a masterful scoreless, 1 hit, no walk performance over 6.2 innings against the Marlins tonight, which improved his record to 5-2 and his ERA to 2.66). He's now down to just a hit per inning (88 of both) on the season, and has walked just 17, good for a WHIP of 1.19. Before tonight, Baseball Prospectus had him rated as the 30th best starter in baseball (according to Support-Neutral Wins & Losses), and that's sure to improve based on this outing. The Mets have really sucked this year, but the work of Seo, the early returns from Jose Reyes and the nice offensive years being had by Jeromy Burnitz and Cliff Floyd are at least giving fans a reason to stay interested.

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